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Drought risk and maize production in Southern Africa - Lessons for Ethiopia

By: Contributor(s): Material type: ArticleArticleLanguage: English Publication details: Addis Ababa (Ethiopia) : Agricultural Economics Society of Ethiopia, 2011.ISBN:
  • 978-99944-836-4-8
Subject(s): In: Adapting to crises: Ethiopian agriculture in the 21st century. Proceedings of the 13th Annual Conference of the Agricultural Economics Society of Ethiopia p. 99-123Summary: This paper discusses drought risk perception and management in five southern African countries; i.e., Angola, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe. A sample of 1108 households was randomly drawn with sample sizes varying country to country. Data generated were analyzed using descriptive statistics and non-parametric statistical models. Drought was reported to be the most important challenge on the livelihoods of people in Malawi, Zambia and Zimbabwe, where it was indicated to be second, next to sickness and mortality of a family member, in Angola and Mozambique. Maize varieties in general and improved open pollinated and hybrid varieties in particular are being considered very risky in terms of predictability and reliability of yield levels. Given the importance of maize and the vulnerability of the farming communities in the region, this implies that drought and risks associated with it will have paramount and potentially irreversible consequiences on the poor sections of the region. Despite the fact that yield size is among the most preferred traits, farmers' strong reference to maize as a risky crop urges refocusing breeding activities to generation of germplasms with reliable yield distrifution. Farmers have also shown strong interest in drought tolerance early maturity and good performance under poor rainfall traits of maize implying the need for comprehensive breeding schemes.
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This paper discusses drought risk perception and management in five southern African countries; i.e., Angola, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe. A sample of 1108 households was randomly drawn with sample sizes varying country to country. Data generated were analyzed using descriptive statistics and non-parametric statistical models. Drought was reported to be the most important challenge on the livelihoods of people in Malawi, Zambia and Zimbabwe, where it was indicated to be second, next to sickness and mortality of a family member, in Angola and Mozambique. Maize varieties in general and improved open pollinated and hybrid varieties in particular are being considered very risky in terms of predictability and reliability of yield levels. Given the importance of maize and the vulnerability of the farming communities in the region, this implies that drought and risks associated with it will have paramount and potentially irreversible consequiences on the poor sections of the region. Despite the fact that yield size is among the most preferred traits, farmers' strong reference to maize as a risky crop urges refocusing breeding activities to generation of germplasms with reliable yield distrifution. Farmers have also shown strong interest in drought tolerance early maturity and good performance under poor rainfall traits of maize implying the need for comprehensive breeding schemes.

Socioeconomics Program|Global Maize Program

Text in English

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