000			03244nam a22003737a 4500
001			69689
003			MX-TxCIM
005			20251219095354.0
008			251208s2025 np ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040			_aMX-TxCIM
041			_aeng
100	1		_aKafle, S. _911416
245	1	0	_aMango under climate change scenarios : _bEvaluating temperaturebased suitability across elevation gradients of Nepal
260			_aNepal : _bCIMMYT, _c2025.
300			_a16 pages
500			_aOpen Access
520			_aMango (Mangifera indica L.) has been grown predominantly in southern plains of Nepal. Climate change is expected to affect vegetation including its impact on mango phenology. To investigate how future climate affect mango suitability in Nepal, thresholds of bioclimatic variables such as Bio5 and Bio6 were set based on available literatures and related climate projections of 30 years’ time interval, were sourced from CHELSA platform. This constitutes the near current (1981-2010) as baseline for this study, and near future (2011-2040), mid-century (2041-2070) and end century (2071-2100) timeframes for three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and climate forcing scenarios (SSP1- 2.6, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5). Utilizing geospatial layers of the bioclimatic variables, currently available land cover map and digital elevation model (DEM), the change in suitable area and elevation for mango were mapped for Nepal. The results suggest that elevated temperature across different climate projection scenarios will increase additional mango suitable area up to 35.9 percent during end century from near current and extend suitability to higher elevation, ranging from additional 89.02 m in SSP1-2.6 of near future to 502.67 m in SSP5-8.5 of end century. The increment in suitability will further differ across elevation ranges and provinces, Karnali witnessing the highest rate of change in suitable area in all scenarios. The upward extension of suitability in the changed climatic conditions for Nepal’s has implications in future fruit zoning and climate adaptation planning. This also demands further research on integration of this tropical fruit in the existing farming systems where mango cultivation was not in practice.
546			_aText in English
591			_aKafle, S. : Not in IRS staff list but CIMMYT Affiliation
591			_aKoirala, P. : Not in IRS staff list but CIMMYT Affiliation
597			_dCGIAR Trust Fund _aNutrition, health & food security _fSustainable Farming _cResilient Agrifood Systems _uhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/178854
650		7	_aClimate change _2AGROVOC _91045
650		7	_aTemperature _2AGROVOC _97940
650		7	_aMangifera indica _2AGROVOC _912571
651		7	_aNepal _93932 _2AGROVOC
700	1		_aMponela, P. _8001714263 _gSustainable Agrifood Systems _921640
700	1		_aKoirala, P. _931448
700	0		_aShishir Sapkota _940844
700	1		_aLopez-Ridaura, S. _gSustainable Agrifood Systems _8INT3360 _9939
700	1		_aSapkota, T.B. _gSustainable Agrifood Systems _8INT3361 _9940
700	1		_aKrupnik, T.J. _gSustainable Agrifood Systems _8INT3222 _9906
856	4		_yOpen Access through DSpace _uhttps://hdl.handle.net/10883/36297
942			_cWP _n0 _2ddc
999			_c69689 _d69681