000 02402nab a22003497a 4500
001 68926
003 MX-TxCIM
005 20250620154936.0
008 250606s2012 -uk|||p|op||| 00| 0 eng d
022 _a0308-521X
022 _a1873-2267 (Online)
024 8 _ahttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2011.12.002
040 _aMX-TxCIM
041 _aeng
100 1 _aRasmussen, L.V.
_911421
245 1 2 _aA system dynamics approach to land use changes in agro-pastoral systems on the desert margins of Sahel
260 _aUnited Kingdom :
_bElsevier,
_c2012.
500 _aPeer review
520 _aLand use changes in the Sahel are influenced by multiple socio-economic and bio-physical driving forces that result in a complex and dynamic land use system. This paper outlines to what extent a system dynamics approach may serve to nuance the understanding of Sahelian agro-pastoral systems. Firstly, by using the Sahelian part of Northern Burkina Faso as a case study, we build a simple model that includes the most influential drivers of land use changes and their impacts in the land use system. As the developed model is proven to successfully simulate the main directions of change in the land use system, we employ the model to explore the impacts of important and realistic alterations in those factors driving land use change. This is done by generating ‘what if’ scenarios. The results show that ‘what if’ scenarios based on sudden events, such as a drop in millet prices or a total stop in circular migration, have a more pronounced impact on the system than other more long term alterations such as increased rainfall variability. As the developed model allows testing simple hypotheses about the dynamics of land use systems, the approach serves as a useful complementary tool to more established approaches in advancing land change science.
546 _aText in English
650 7 _aSystems
_2AGROVOC
_917215
650 7 _aDynamics
_2AGROVOC
_911690
650 7 _aAgronomic practices
_2AGROVOC
_96202
650 7 _aPastoral systems
_2AGROVOC
_939227
650 7 _aLand use change
_2AGROVOC
_911655
651 7 _aSahel
_2AGROVOC
_918117
700 1 _aRasmussen, K.
_939223
700 1 _aReenberg, A.
_939225
700 1 _aProud, S.R.
_939226
773 0 _dUnited Kingdom : Elsevier, 2012.
_gv. 107, p. 56–64
_tAgricultural Systems
_wG444466
_x0308-521X
942 _2ddc
_cJA
_n0
999 _c68926
_d68918