000 04045nab|a22003737a|4500
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022 _a0308-521X
022 _a1873-2267 (Online)
024 8 _ahttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2023.103804
040 _aMX-TxCIM
041 _aeng
100 1 _aDevkota, M.
_9973
245 1 0 _aOpportunities to close wheat yield gaps in Nepal's Terai :
_bInsights from field surveys, on-farm experiments, and simulation modeling
260 _bElsevier BV.,
_c2024.
_aUnited Kingdom :
500 _aPeer review
520 _aCONTEXT. Wheat (Triticum aestivum) is among the most important staple food crops in the lowland Terai region of Nepal. However, national production has not matched the increasing demand. From a South Asian regional perspective, average productivity is low with high spatial and temporal variability. OBJECTIVES. This study determines entry points for closing yield gaps using multiple diagnostic approaches, i.e., field surveys, on-farm experiments, and simulation models across different wheat production environments in the Terai region of Nepal. METHODOLOGY. Yield and production practice data were collected from 1745 wheat farmers' fields and analysed in tandem with over 100 on-farm experiments. These were complemented by long-term simulation modeling using the APSIM Next Generation to assess system production behavior over a range of climate years. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION. On-farm survey data suggests that yield and profit gaps under farmers' management (difference between the most productive (top 10th decile) and average wheat fields) were 1.60 t ha−1 and 348 USD ha−1 in the Terai region. The potential yield gap (difference between simulated potential yield and surveyed population mean) estimated was 4.63 t ha−1, suggesting ample room for growth even for the highest-yielding fields. Machine learning diagnostics of survey data, and on-farm trials identified nitrogen rate, irrigation management, terminal heat stress, use of improved varieties, seeding date, seeding method, and seeding rate as the principal agronomic drivers of wheat yield. While fields in the top 10th decile yield distribution had higher fertilizer use efficiencies and irrigation and seeding rates with similar overall production costs as average-yielding farmers. Our results suggest a complementary set of agronomic interventions to increase wheat productivity among lower-yielding farms in the Terai including advancing the time of seeding by 7–10 days on average, increasing nitrogen fertilizer by 20 kg ha−1, and alleviating water stress by applying two additional irrigations. SIGNIFICANCE. Although wheat yields in the Terai are among the lowest in the region, biophysical production potential is high and remains largely untapped due to sub-optimal agronomic management practices rather than intrinsic agroecological factors. Data from this study suggests that incremental changes in these practices may result in substantial gains in productivity and profitability.
546 _aText in English
597 _aPoverty reduction, livelihoods & jobs
_bExcellence in Agronomy
_bTransforming Agrifood Systems in South Asia
_cResilient Agrifood Systems
_dUnited States Agency for International Development
_dCGIAR Trust Fund
_uhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/134892
650 7 _aAgronomic practices
_2AGROVOC
_96202
650 7 _aSustainable intensification
_2AGROVOC
_91355
650 7 _aGenotype environment interaction
_2AGROVOC
_91133
650 7 _aWheat
_2AGROVOC
_91310
650 7 _aYield gap
_2AGROVOC
_91356
651 7 _2AGROVOC
_93932
_aNepal
700 1 _aDevkota, K.P.
_91351
700 1 _aPaudel, G.P.
_91353
_8R1705561
_gSustainable Intensification Program
700 1 _aKrupnik, T.J.
_9906
_8INT3222
_gSustainable Agrifood Systems
700 1 _aMcDonald, A.
_9883
773 0 _tAgricultural Systems
_gv. 213, art. 103804
_dUnited Kingdom :Elsevier BV., 2023.
_x0308-521X
_wG444466
942 _cJA
_n0
_2ddc
999 _c66657
_d66649