000 02459nab|a22003617a|4500
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022 _a2045-2322 (Online)
024 8 _ahttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-95014-6
040 _aMX-TxCIM
041 _aeng
100 1 _aBento, V.A.
_924744
245 1 4 _aThe impact of climate change in wheat and barley yields in the Iberian Peninsula
260 _aLondon (United Kingdom) :
_bNature Publishing Group,
_c2021.
500 _aPeer review
500 _aOpen Access
520 _aThe impact of climate change on wheat and barley yields in two regions of the Iberian Peninsula is here examined. Regression models are developed by using EURO-CORDEX regional climate model (RCM) simulations, forced by ERA-Interim, with monthly maximum and minimum air temperatures and monthly accumulated precipitation as predictors. Additionally, RCM simulations forced by different global climate models for the historical period (1972–2000) and mid-of-century (2042–2070; under the two emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) are analysed. Results point to different regional responses of wheat and barley. In the southernmost regions, results indicate that the main yield driver is spring maximum temperature, while further north a larger dependence on spring precipitation and early winter maximum temperature is observed. Climate change seems to induce severe yield losses in the southern region, mainly due to an increase in spring maximum temperature. On the contrary, a yield increase is projected in the northern regions, with the main driver being early winter warming that stimulates earlier growth. These results warn on the need to implement sustainable agriculture policies, and on the necessity of regional adaptation strategies.
546 _aText in English
650 7 _2AGROVOC
_aClimate change
_91045
650 7 _2AGROVOC
_aCrop yield
_91066
650 7 _2AGROVOC
_aWheat
_91310
650 7 _2AGROVOC
_aBarley
_91018
700 1 _aRibeiro, A.F.S.
_924745
700 1 _aRusso, A.
_924746
700 1 _aGouveia, C.M.
_924747
700 1 _aCardoso, R.M.
_924748
700 1 _aSoares, P.M.M.
_924749
773 0 _gv. 11, art. 15484
_dLondon : Nature Publishing Group, 2021.
_x2045-2322
_tNature Scientific Reports
_wa58025
856 4 _yClick here to access online
_uhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-95014-6
942 _cJA
_n0
_2ddc
999 _c64511
_d64503