000			02210nab|a22003617a|4500
999			_c63532 _d63524
001			63532
003			MX-TxCIM
005			20211006073108.0
008			200712s2021||||xxk|||p|op||||00||0|eng|d
022			_a2045-2322
024	8		_ahttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-83375-x
040			_aMX-TxCIM
041			_aeng
100	1		_aVerschuur, J. _919290
245	1	0	_aClimate change as a driver of food insecurity in the 2007 Lesotho-South Africa drought
260			_aLondon (United Kingdom) : _bNature Publishing Group, _c2021.
500			_aPeer review
500			_aOpen Access
520			_aClimate-induced food production shocks, like droughts, can cause food shortages and price spikes, leading to food insecurity. In 2007, a synchronous crop failure in Lesotho and South Africa—Lesotho’s sole trading partner—led to a period of severe food insecurity in Lesotho. Here, we use extreme event attribution to assess the role of climate change in exacerbating this drought, going on to evaluate sensitivity of synchronous crop failures to climate change and its implications for food security in Lesotho. Climate change was found to be a critical driver that led to the 2007 crisis in Lesotho, aggravating an ongoing decline in food production in the country. We show how a fragile agricultural system in combination with a large trade-dependency on a climatically connected trading partner can lead to a nonlinear response to climate change, which is essential information for building a climate-resilient food-supply system now and in the future.
546			_aText in English
650		7	_2AGROVOC _91045 _aClimate change
650		7	_aFood security _gAGROVOC _2 _91118
650		7	_2AGROVOC _91080 _aDrought
650		7	_2AGROVOC _94197 _aEnvironmental impact
651		7	_2AGROVOC _919291 _aLesotho
651		7	_2AGROVOC _95594 _aSouth Africa
700	0		_aSihan Li _919292
700	1		_aWolski, P. _919293
700	1		_aOtto, F.E.L. _919294
773	0		_tNature Scientific Reports _gv. 11, art. 3852 _dLondon (United Kingdom) : Nature Publishing Group, 2021. _x2045-2322 _wa58025
856	4		_yClick here to access online _uhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-83375-x
942			_cJA _n0 _2ddc