000			02448nab a22003737a 4500
999			_c61929 _d61921
001			61929
003			MX-TxCIM
005			20200601161146.0
008			180103s2013 xxk|||p|op||| 00| 0 eng d
022			_a1758-678X
022			_a1758-6798 (Online)
024	8		_ahttps://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1876
040			_aMX-TxCIM
041			_aeng
100	1		_913378 _aMahlstein, I.
245	1	0	_aPace of shifts in climate regions increases with global temperature
260			_aLondon (United Kingdom) : _bNature Publishing Group, _c2013.
500			_aPeer review
520			_aHuman-induced climate change causes significant changes in local climates1,2, which in turn lead to changes in regional climate zones. Large shifts in the world distribution of Köppen–Geiger climate classifications by the end of this century have been projected3. However, only a few studies have analysed the pace of these shifts in climate zones4,5, and none has analysed whether the pace itself changes with increasing global mean temperature. In this study, pace refers to the rate at which climate zones change as a function of amount of global warming. Here we show that present climate projections suggest that the pace of shifting climate zones increases approximately linearly with increasing global temperature. Using the RCP8.5 emissions pathway, the pace nearly doubles by the end of this century and about 20% of all land area undergoes a change in its original climate. This implies that species will have increasingly less time to adapt to Köppen zone changes in the future, which is expected to increase the risk of extinction5.
546			_aText in English
650		7	_91045 _aClimate change _2AGROVOC
650		7	_97940 _aTemperature _2AGROVOC
650		7	_91558 _aClimate _2AGROVOC
700	1		_913379 _aDaniel, J.S.
700	1		_913380 _aSolomon, S.
773	0		_gv. 3, no. 8, p. 739-743 _tNature Climate Change _x1758-6798 _dLondon (United Kingdom) : Nature Publishing Group, 2013. _wu97377
942			_2ddc _cJA _n0