000			00595nab|a22002177a|4500
999			_c61617 _d61609
001			61617
003			MX-TxCIM
005			20200408194045.0
008			200325s2003||||ne |||p|op||||00||0|eng|d
022			_a0165-0009
022			_a1573-1480 (Online)
024	8		_ahttps://doi.org/10.1023/A:1022825915791
040			_aMX-TxCIM
041			_aeng
100	1		_aMirza, M.M.Q. _912078
245	1	4	_aThe implications of climate change on floods of the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna rivers in Bangladesh
260			_aAmsterdam (Netherlands) : _bSpringer, _c2003.
500			_aPeer review
520			_aClimate change in the future would have implications for river discharges in Bangladesh. In this article, possible changes in the magnitude, extent and depth of floods of the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna (GBM) rivers in Bangladesh were assessed using a sequence of empirical models and the MIKE11-GIS hydrodynamic model. Climate change scenarios were constructed from the results of four General Circulation Models (GCMs) –CSIRO9, UKTR, GFDL and LLNL, which demonstrate a range of uncertainties. Changes in magnitude, depth and extent of flood discharge vary considerably between the GCMs. Future changes in the peak discharge of the Ganges River are expected to be higher than those for the Brahmaputra River. Peak discharge of the Meghna River may also increase considerably. As a result, significant changes in the spatial extent and depths of inundation in Bangladesh may occur. Faster changes in inundation are expected at low temperature increases than of higher temperature changes. Changes in land inundation categories may introduce substantial changes in rice agriculture and cropping patterns in Bangladesh. Reduction of increased flood hazard due to climate change requires strengthening of flood management policies and adaptation measures in Bangladesh.
546			_aText in English
650		7	_2AGROVOC _91045 _aClimate change
650		7	_2AGROVOC _99693 _aFlooding
650		7	_2AGROVOC _912080 _aRivers
651		7	_2AGROVOC _91424 _aBangladesh
700	1		_912081 _aWarrick, R.A.
700	1		_912082 _aEricksen, N.J.
773	0		_tClimatic Change _gv. 57, no. 3, p. 287-318 _dAmsterdam (Netherlands) : Springer, 2003. _x0165-0009 _wu97852
942			_cJA _n0 _2ddc