| 000 | 02350nab a22003137a 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | 58447 | ||
| 003 | MX-TxCIM | ||
| 005 | 20190726171717.0 | ||
| 008 | 020703s2016 xxu | p op 0 0eng d | ||
| 024 | 8 | _ahttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2016.08.001 | |
| 040 | _aMX-TxCIM | ||
| 100 | 1 |
_94489 _aGuimapi, R.Y.A. |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | _aModeling the risk of invasion and spread of Tuta absoluta in Africa |
| 260 |
_aNew York : _bElsevier Science, _c2016. |
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| 500 | _aPeer review | ||
| 520 | _aTuta absoluta is an invasive insect that originated from South America and has spread to Europe Africa and Asia. Since its detection in Spain in 2006, the pest is continuing to expand its geographical range, including the recent detection in several Sub-Saharan African countries. The present study proposed a model based on cellular automata to predict year-to-year the risk of the invasion and spread of T. absoluta across Africa. Using, land vegetation cover, temperature, relative humidity and yield of tomato production as key driving factors, we were able to mimic the spreading behavior of the pest, and to understand the role that each of these factors play in the process of propagation of invasion. Simulations by inferring the pest’s natural ability to fly long distance revealed that T. absoluta could reach South of Africa ten years after being detected in Spain (Europe). Findings also reveal that relative humidity and the presence of T. absoluta host plants are important factors for improving the accuracy of the prediction. The study aims to inform stakeholders in plant health, plant quarantine, and pest management on the risks that T. absoluta may cause at local, regional and event global scales. It is suggested that adequate measures should be put in place to stop, control and contain the process used by this pest to expand its range. | ||
| 526 | _d | ||
| 546 | _aText in English | ||
| 650 | 0 |
_aPest insects _93760 |
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| 651 | 7 |
_91316 _aAfrica |
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| 700 | 1 |
_92736 _aMohamed, S.F. |
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| 700 | 1 |
_94490 _aOkeyo, G.O. |
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| 700 | 1 |
_94491 _aNdjomatchoua, F.T. |
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| 700 | 1 |
_92738 _aEkesi, S. |
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| 700 | 1 |
_92734 _aTonnang, H. _8I1706688 _gSustainable Intensification Program |
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| 773 | 0 |
_tEcological complexity _gv. 28, p. 77-93 |
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| 856 | 4 |
_yAccess only for CIMMYT Staff _uhttp://libcatalog.cimmyt.org/Download/cis/58447.pdf |
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| 942 |
_2ddc _cJA |
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| 999 |
_c58447 _d58439 |
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