000 01977nab a22003137a 4500
001 G96975
003 MX-TxCIM
005 20211006074519.0
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024 8 _ahttps://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.environ.041008.093740
040 _aMX-TxCIM
041 0 _aEn
100 1 _aLobell, D.B.
245 0 0 _aCrop yield gaps:
_b their importance, magnitudes, and causes
260 _c2009
520 _aFuture trajectories of food prices, food security, and cropland expansion are closely linked to future average crop yields in the major agricultural regions of the world. Because the maximum possible yields achieved in farmers' fields might level off or even decline in many regions over the next few decades, reducing the gap between average and potential yields is critical. In most major irrigated wheat, rice, and maize systems, yields appear to be at or near 80% of yield potential, with no evidence for yields having exceeded this threshold to date. A fundamental constraint in these systems appears to be uncertainty in growing season weather; thus tools to address this uncertainty would likely reduce gaps. Otherwise, short-term prospects for yield gains in irrigated agriculture appear grim without increased yield potential. Average yields in rainfed systems are commonly 50% or less of yield potential, suggesting ample room for improvement, though estimation of yield gaps for rainfed regions is subject to more errors than for irrigated regions. Several priorities for future research are identified.
546 _aEnglish
593 _aCarelia Juarez
595 _aRPC
650 1 7 _aAgriculture
_gAGROVOC
_2
_91007
650 1 0 _aClimate uncertainty
650 1 0 _aFood production
_91116
650 1 0 _aYield constraints
650 1 0 _ayield potential
700 1 _aCassman, K.G.,
_ecoaut.
_92458
700 1 _aField, C.B.,
_ecoaut.
773 0 _tAnnual Review of Environmental Resources
_gv. 34, p. 179-204
942 _cJA
999 _c29385
_d29385