000 02358nab a22003617a 4500
001 G93530
003 MX-TxCIM
005 20230814214700.0
008 210824s2009 xxk|||p|op||| 00| 0 eng d
022 _a1469-4441 (Online)
022 _a0014-4797
024 8 _ahttps://doi.org/10.1017/S0014479709007509
040 _aMX-TxCIM
041 _aeng
090 _aCIS-5687
100 1 _aErenstein, O.
_gFormerly Socioeconomics Program
_8INT2677
_9848
245 1 0 _aAssessing innovations lacking developed supply markets :
_ba simple ex ante model applied to rock phosphate use in rice in West Africa
260 _aCambridge (United Kingdom) :
_bCambridge University Press,
_c2009.
500 _aPeer review
500 _aPeer-review: Yes - Open Access: Yes|http://science.thomsonreuters.com/cgi-bin/jrnlst/jlresults.cgi?PC=MASTER&ISSN=0014-4797
520 _aNew technologies often lack a developed supply market, which makes it problematic to estimate future profitability. This paper develops a simple methodology to circumvent this problem based on the concepts of break-even and expected marginal rate of return. The methodology estimates ex ante a range of target threshold prices: the range of maximum prices that farmers are likely to be willing to pay. Only if the future market is able to supply the new technology within or below the threshold price range is significant adoption likely. The target threshold prices can be used to reorient technology development and delimit recommendation domains. The paper applies the methodology to the case of rock phosphate in upland rice in western Cote d'Ivoire. The paper shows that for rock phosphate to be viable for upland rice farmers its on-farm price should generally not surpass Euro cents 5.7–8.1 per kg of rock phosphate.
536 _aSocioeconomics Program
546 _aText in English
594 _aINT2677
650 7 _2AGROVOC
_96827
_aNew technology
650 7 _2AGROVOC
_92744
_aMarket research
650 7 _2AGROVOC
_98946
_aWillingness to Pay
650 7 _2AGROVOC
_91243
_aRice
650 7 _2AGROVOC
_913948
_aRock phosphate
773 0 _tExperimental Agriculture
_gv. 45, no. 3, p. 287-294
_dUnited Kingdom : Cambridge University Press, 2009.
_wG444498
_x0014-4797
856 4 _yAccess only for CIMMYT Staff
_uhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12665/1067
942 _cJA
_2ddc
_n0
999 _c27888
_d27888