TY  - PRO
AU  - Hassan,R.M.
AU  - D'Silva,B.
AU  - Greenshields,B.|Bellamy,M.A.
AU  - Mwangi,W.M.
TI  - Multi market analysis of Sudan's wheat policies:  Implications for fiscal deficits, self sufficiency and the external balance
U1  - 338.1 
PY  - 1992///
KW  - Agricultural policies
KW  - Economic analysis
KW  - AGROVOC
KW  - Food consumption
KW  - Market competition
KW  - Models
KW  - Nonoptimizing methods
KW  - Self sufficiency
KW  - Wheat
N2  - Highly subsidized bread prices financed partially through wheat aid and over valued currency, have stimulated rapid growth in wheat consumption in Sudan at the expense of other staple grains such as sorghum and millet. Due to inefticient production methods and the resultant low wheat yields, domestic supply has lagged behind demand. Faced by serious foreign exchange shortages, scvere internal and external imbalances and reduced availability of food aid, Sudan could not sustain dependence on external sources to bridge the growing wheat gap. Given the political difficulties associated with managing demand" the government has chosen to promote local production. Research results which have shown high potent ial gains in wheat yield under improved crop management was another factor behind choosing the supply strategy.  A dynamic multi-market model was dcveloped and used to evaluate alternative supply promoting and dcmand control strategies. Competition with alternative productive uses of the country's scarce agricultural resourccs, as well as substitution between wheat and other cereal grains in consumption were analyzed. Impacts of the various policies on net exports, food security and the budget arc measured and compared. Policy analysis results indicate the significant contribution of production efficiency, reduced COllsumer subsidies and elimination of relative price distortions, to higher self-sufficiency ami lower intern;.ll and external deficits
UR  - http://libcatalog.cimmyt.org/download/cis/G36089.pdf
ER  -