TY  - JA
AU  - Vitousek,P.M.
AU  - Xinping Chen
AU  - Cui,Z.
AU  - Liu,X.
AU  - Matson,P.A.
AU  - Ortiz-Monasterio,I.
AU  - Robertson,G.P.
AU  - Fusuo Zhang
TI  - Climate-change-induced temporal variation in precipitation increases nitrogen losses from intensive cropping systems: Analysis with a toy model
SN  - 2095-7505
PY  - 2022///
CY  - Beijing (China)
PB  - Higher Education Press, 
KW  - Crop yield
KW  - AGROVOC
KW  - Fertilizers
KW  - Nitrogen
KW  - Cropping systems
N1  - Peer review; Open Access
N2  - A simple ‘toy’ model of productivity and nitrogen and phosphorus cycling was used to evaluate how the increasing temporal variation in precipitation that is predicted (and observed) to occur as a consequence of greenhouse-gas-induced climate change will affect crop yields and losses of reactive N that can cause environmental damage and affect human health. The model predicted that as temporal variability in precipitation increased it progressively reduced yields and increased losses of reactive N by disrupting the synchrony between N supply and plant N uptake. Also, increases in the temporal variation of precipitation increased the frequency of floods and droughts. Predictions of this model indicate that climate-change-driven increases in temporal variation in precipitation in rainfed agricultural ecosystems will make it difficult to sustain cropping systems that are both high-yielding and have small environmental and human-health footprints
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/10883/22318
DO  - https://doi.org/10.15302/J-FASE-2022452
T2  - Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering
ER  -