Knowledge Center Catalog

Modeling sorghum yield response to climate change in the semi-arid environment of Ethiopia (Record no. 69060)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 03258nab|a22003497a|4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 69060
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field MX-TxCIM
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20250804114928.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 20258s2025|||||ne ||p|op||||00||0|eng|dd
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 2666-1543 (Online)
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jafr.2025.102143
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency MX-TxCIM
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Gardi, M.W.
Miscellaneous information Sustainable Agrifood Systems
Field link and sequence number 001713673
9 (RLIN) 30174
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Modeling sorghum yield response to climate change in the semi-arid environment of Ethiopia
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Netherlands :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Elsevier B.V.,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2025.
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Peer review
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Open Access
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. In Ethiopia, sorghum is a vital food security crop, predominantly cultivated in semi-arid, rain-fed agricultural landscapes. However, the increasing effects of climate change now present a serious threat to its sustainable production. This study assessed the impacts of climate change on three popular sorghum varieties (ESH-1, ESH-2, and Melkam) in three semi-arid areas of Ethiopia using a crop-climate modeling approach. Calibration and validation of the CERES-Sorghum model demonstrated strong agreement between simulated and observed values, confirming its reliability for application. Climate projections from three GCM models show temperature increases up to 2.1 °C by the 2050s and 4 °C by the 2080s. Rainfall changes varied by location, with Mieso projected for a 21.8 % increase and Melkassa showing minimal change but high variability. Our findings reveal highly differential and location-specific yield responses across varieties under projected climate. Although projections show Kobo yields remaining stable or increasing slightly under climate change, sensitivity analysis reveals potential yield declines of up to 44 % with a 20 % rainfall reduction. In contrast, projections for Melkassa showed consistent yield declines across all varieties, exhibiting strong sensitivity to temperature changes, where a 1.5 ∘C increase potentially reduces yields by up to 40 %. In comparison, Mieso displayed mixed responses, with the ESH-2 variety performing notably better under future scenarios. These findings suggest that current agronomic practices may be insufficient to sustain yields under climate scenarios, threatening future food security. Thus, developing and implementing climate-resilient strategies, including cultivating drought-tolerant sorghum cultivars, optimizing irrigation, and enhancing soil health, is crucial to ensure effective adaptation and regional food security.
546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE
Language note Text in English
597 ## - CGIAR Initiative
CGIAR Initiative Excellence in Agronomy
Donor or Funder Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF)
Program & Accelerators Sustainable Farming
CGSpace handle https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175962
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Climate change
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1045
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Sorghum
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 2002
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Semi-arid zones
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 34102
651 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--GEOGRAPHIC NAME
Geographic name Ethiopia
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 2025
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Zewdu, E.
9 (RLIN) 39683
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Sida, T.S.
Field link and sequence number 001711262
Miscellaneous information Sustainable Agrifood Systems
9 (RLIN) 5724
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title Journal of Agriculture and Food Research
Related parts v. 22, art. 102143
Place, publisher, and date of publication Netherlands : Elsevier B.V., 2025.
International Standard Serial Number 2666-1543
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Link text Open Access through DSpace
Uniform Resource Identifier https://hdl.handle.net/10883/35813
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Article
Suppress in OPAC No
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Holdings
Date last seen Total Checkouts Price effective from Koha item type Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection code Withdrawn status Home library Current library Date acquired
07/17/2025   07/17/2025 Article Not Lost Dewey Decimal Classification     CIMMYT Staff Publications Collection   CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library 07/17/2025

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