Knowledge Center Catalog

Risk-based evaluations of competing agronomic climate adaptation strategies : (Record no. 67603)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 04152nab|a22003617a|4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 67603
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field MX-TxCIM
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20240612211901.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 20243s2024||||mx |||p|op||||00||0|eng|d
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 0308-521X
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 1873-2267 (Online)
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104014
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency MX-TxCIM
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Field link and sequence number 001712974
Personal name Mkondiwa, M.
Miscellaneous information Sustainable Agrifood Systems
9 (RLIN) 26831
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Risk-based evaluations of competing agronomic climate adaptation strategies :
Remainder of title The case of rice planting strategies in the indo-Gangetic Plains
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Elsevier Ltd.,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2024.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. United Kingdom :
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Peer review
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Open Access
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. CONTEXT: Adjusting crop planting dates and variety durations is emerging as a crucial climate change adaptation strategy for many cereal systems. Such strategies include harmonizing crop planting with the onset of the rainy season or planting at specific recommended calendar dates. Evaluations of these strategies mostly consider yield and yield variability, but focus less on financial risks associated with different planting strategies and importance of risk aversion behaviour of the farmers in their decision to adopt the strategies. OBJECTIVE: Here, we present a novel framework that uses a computational spatial ex-ante approach for risk-based evaluations of agronomic adaptation options. This framework allows development agronomic adaptation recommendations that consider climate risks for risk-averse famrers. METHODS: We use a second order stochastic dominance approach that is paired with computational optimization—Golden section search algorithm. This approach allows a distributional assessment of risk and uncertainty by providing bounds at which even a risk averse would benefit from changing practices. This contrasts with conventional methods that do not consider farmers' risk aversion, e.g. mean-variance or conditional value at risk optimization methods. To demonstrate our approach, we compare the yield risks and economic risks associated with readily available gridded crop simulation outputs for various rice planting strategies across the Indo-Gangetic Plains (IGP)– a major region experiencing food insecurity and climate impacts. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: The findings provide quantitative evidence about the riskiness of previously recommended rice planting date strategies. The risk-based assessment corroborates the recommendation for planting long-duration varieties at the monsoon onset with or without supplemental irrigation (covering about 22% of IGP area) in the Eastern IGP, and at state-recommended planting dates (covering about 38% of IGP area) in most of the Western and Middle IGP. Importantly, our risk-based assessment shows where the results are not as clear cut and which strategy is the least risky. This is especially important in the Middle IGP where farmers appear to have more flexibility to achieve comparable outcomes with several planting strategies. SIGNIFICANCE: In conclusion, the proposed approach provides a useful and novel tool for comparing different agronomic climate adaptation strategies from an economic risk perspective in a spatial framework.
546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE
Language note Text in English
597 ## - CGIAR Initiative
CGIAR Impact area Climate adaptation & mitigation
CGIAR Initiative Excellence in Agronomy
-- Asian Mega-Deltas
CGIAR Action areas Systems Transformation
-- Resilient Agrifood Systems
Donor or Funder
--
CGSpace handle https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145204
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Sustainable agriculture
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 2327
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Climate resilience
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 28838
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Irrigation
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1164
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Smallholders
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1763
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Willingness to Pay
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 8946
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Rice
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1243
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Urfels, A.
Field link and sequence number 001711637
Miscellaneous information Formerly Sustainable Agrifood Systems
9 (RLIN) 4925
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title Agricultural Systems
Place, publisher, and date of publication United Kingdom : Elsevier Ltd., 2024.
International Standard Serial Number 0308-521X
Related parts v. 218, art. 104014
Record control number G444466
856 4# - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Link text Open Access through DSpace
Uniform Resource Identifier https://hdl.handle.net/10883/34570
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Article
Suppress in OPAC No
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Holdings
Date last seen Total Checkouts Price effective from Koha item type Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection code Withdrawn status Home library Current library Date acquired
06/11/2024   06/11/2024 Article Not Lost Dewey Decimal Classification     CIMMYT Staff Publications Collection   CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library 06/11/2024

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