Knowledge Center Catalog

Prediction of near-term climate change impacts on UK wheat quality and the potential for adaptation through plant breeding (Record no. 65852)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 04100nab|a22004937a|4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 65852
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field MX-TxCIM
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20240919020954.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 20221s2022||||mx |||p|op||||00||0|eng|d
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 1354-1013
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 1365-2486 (Online)
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16552
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency MX-TxCIM
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Fradgley, N. S.
Field link and sequence number 001713762
Miscellaneous information Global Wheat Program
9 (RLIN) 17394
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Prediction of near-term climate change impacts on UK wheat quality and the potential for adaptation through plant breeding
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Wiley,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2023.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. United Kingdom :
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Peer review
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Open Access
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Wheat is a major crop worldwide, mainly cultivated for human consumption and animal feed. Grain quality is paramount in determining its value and downstream use. While we know that climate change threatens global crop yields, a better understanding of impacts on wheat end-use quality is also critical. Combining quantitative genetics with climate model outputs, we investigated UK-wide trends in genotypic adaptation for wheat quality traits. In our approach, we augmented genomic prediction models with environmental characterisation of field trials to predict trait values and climate effects in historical field trial data between 2001 and 2020. Addition of environmental covariates, such as temperature and rainfall, successfully enabled prediction of genotype by environment interactions (G × E), and increased prediction accuracy of most traits for new genotypes in new year cross validation. We then extended predictions from these models to much larger numbers of simulated environments using climate scenarios projected under Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 for 2050–2069. We found geographically varying climate change impacts on wheat quality due to contrasting associations between specific weather covariables and quality traits across the UK. Notably, negative impacts on quality traits were predicted in the East of the UK due to increased summer temperatures while the climate in the North and South-west may become more favourable with increased summer temperatures. Furthermore, by projecting 167,040 simulated future genotype–environment combinations, we found only limited potential for breeding to exploit predictable G × E to mitigate year-to-year environmental variability for most traits except Hagberg falling number. This suggests low adaptability of current UK wheat germplasm across future UK climates. More generally, approaches demonstrated here will be critical to enable adaptation of global crops to near-term climate change.
546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE
Language note Text in English
591 ## - CATALOGING NOTES
Affiliation Costa-Neto, G. : No CIMMYT Affiliation
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Adaptation
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 6026
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Climate change
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1045
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Grain
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1138
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Quality
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1231
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Wheat
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1310
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Breeding
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1029
651 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--GEOGRAPHIC NAME
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 8073
Geographic name United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Bacon, J.
9 (RLIN) 29613
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Bentley, A.R.
Field link and sequence number 001712492
Miscellaneous information Formerly Global Wheat Program
9 (RLIN) 9599
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Costa-Neto, G.
Field link and sequence number 001712813
9 (RLIN) 15939
Miscellaneous information Genetic Resources Program
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Cottrell, A.
9 (RLIN) 29614
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Crossa, J.
Miscellaneous information Genetic Resources Program
Field link and sequence number CCJL01
9 (RLIN) 59
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Cuevas, J.
9 (RLIN) 4437
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Kerton, M.
9 (RLIN) 27162
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Pope, E.
9 (RLIN) 29615
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Swarbreck, S.M.
9 (RLIN) 25936
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Gardner, K.A.
Field link and sequence number 001712617
Miscellaneous information Genetic Resources Program
9 (RLIN) 17393
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title Global Change Biology
Place, publisher, and date of publication United Kingdom : Wiley, 2023.
International Standard Serial Number 1354-1013
Related parts v. 29, no. 5, p. 1296-1313
856 4# - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Link text Open Access through DSpace
Uniform Resource Identifier https://hdl.handle.net/10883/22384
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Article
Suppress in OPAC No
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Holdings
Date last seen Total Checkouts Price effective from Koha item type Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection code Withdrawn status Home library Current library Date acquired
01/05/2023   01/05/2023 Article Not Lost Dewey Decimal Classification     CIMMYT Staff Publications Collection   CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library 01/05/2023

International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) © Copyright 2021.
Carretera México-Veracruz. Km. 45, El Batán, Texcoco, México, C.P. 56237.
If you have any question, please contact us at
CIMMYT-Knowledge-Center@cgiar.org