MARC details
000 -LEADER |
fixed length control field |
04100nab|a22004937a|4500 |
001 - CONTROL NUMBER |
control field |
65852 |
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER |
control field |
MX-TxCIM |
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION |
control field |
20240919020954.0 |
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
fixed length control field |
20221s2022||||mx |||p|op||||00||0|eng|d |
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER |
International Standard Serial Number |
1354-1013 |
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER |
International Standard Serial Number |
1365-2486 (Online) |
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER |
Standard number or code |
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16552 |
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
Original cataloging agency |
MX-TxCIM |
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE |
Language code of text/sound track or separate title |
eng |
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Fradgley, N. S. |
Field link and sequence number |
001713762 |
Miscellaneous information |
Global Wheat Program |
9 (RLIN) |
17394 |
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT |
Title |
Prediction of near-term climate change impacts on UK wheat quality and the potential for adaptation through plant breeding |
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. |
Wiley, |
Date of publication, distribution, etc. |
2023. |
Place of publication, distribution, etc. |
United Kingdom : |
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
General note |
Peer review |
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
General note |
Open Access |
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
Summary, etc. |
Wheat is a major crop worldwide, mainly cultivated for human consumption and animal feed. Grain quality is paramount in determining its value and downstream use. While we know that climate change threatens global crop yields, a better understanding of impacts on wheat end-use quality is also critical. Combining quantitative genetics with climate model outputs, we investigated UK-wide trends in genotypic adaptation for wheat quality traits. In our approach, we augmented genomic prediction models with environmental characterisation of field trials to predict trait values and climate effects in historical field trial data between 2001 and 2020. Addition of environmental covariates, such as temperature and rainfall, successfully enabled prediction of genotype by environment interactions (G × E), and increased prediction accuracy of most traits for new genotypes in new year cross validation. We then extended predictions from these models to much larger numbers of simulated environments using climate scenarios projected under Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 for 2050–2069. We found geographically varying climate change impacts on wheat quality due to contrasting associations between specific weather covariables and quality traits across the UK. Notably, negative impacts on quality traits were predicted in the East of the UK due to increased summer temperatures while the climate in the North and South-west may become more favourable with increased summer temperatures. Furthermore, by projecting 167,040 simulated future genotype–environment combinations, we found only limited potential for breeding to exploit predictable G × E to mitigate year-to-year environmental variability for most traits except Hagberg falling number. This suggests low adaptability of current UK wheat germplasm across future UK climates. More generally, approaches demonstrated here will be critical to enable adaptation of global crops to near-term climate change. |
546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE |
Language note |
Text in English |
591 ## - CATALOGING NOTES |
Affiliation |
Costa-Neto, G. : No CIMMYT Affiliation |
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Adaptation |
Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
9 (RLIN) |
6026 |
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Climate change |
Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
9 (RLIN) |
1045 |
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Grain |
Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
9 (RLIN) |
1138 |
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Quality |
Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
9 (RLIN) |
1231 |
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Wheat |
Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
9 (RLIN) |
1310 |
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Breeding |
Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
9 (RLIN) |
1029 |
651 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--GEOGRAPHIC NAME |
Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
9 (RLIN) |
8073 |
Geographic name |
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Bacon, J. |
9 (RLIN) |
29613 |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Bentley, A.R. |
Field link and sequence number |
001712492 |
Miscellaneous information |
Formerly Global Wheat Program |
9 (RLIN) |
9599 |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Costa-Neto, G. |
Field link and sequence number |
001712813 |
9 (RLIN) |
15939 |
Miscellaneous information |
Genetic Resources Program |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Cottrell, A. |
9 (RLIN) |
29614 |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Crossa, J. |
Miscellaneous information |
Genetic Resources Program |
Field link and sequence number |
CCJL01 |
9 (RLIN) |
59 |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Cuevas, J. |
9 (RLIN) |
4437 |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Kerton, M. |
9 (RLIN) |
27162 |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Pope, E. |
9 (RLIN) |
29615 |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Swarbreck, S.M. |
9 (RLIN) |
25936 |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
Personal name |
Gardner, K.A. |
Field link and sequence number |
001712617 |
Miscellaneous information |
Genetic Resources Program |
9 (RLIN) |
17393 |
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY |
Title |
Global Change Biology |
Place, publisher, and date of publication |
United Kingdom : Wiley, 2023. |
International Standard Serial Number |
1354-1013 |
Related parts |
v. 29, no. 5, p. 1296-1313 |
856 4# - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS |
Link text |
Open Access through DSpace |
Uniform Resource Identifier |
https://hdl.handle.net/10883/22384 |
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
Koha item type |
Article |
Suppress in OPAC |
No |
Source of classification or shelving scheme |
Dewey Decimal Classification |