Knowledge Center Catalog

Seasonal climate forecast can inform the European agricultural sector well in advance of harvesting (Record no. 64520)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02339nab|a22003137a|4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 64520
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field MX-TxCIM
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20211116183009.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 200423s2021||||xxk|||p|op||||00||0|eng|d
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 2397-3722 (Online)
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00198-3
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency MX-TxCIM
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Ceglar, A.
9 (RLIN) 16052
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Seasonal climate forecast can inform the European agricultural sector well in advance of harvesting
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc. London (United Kingdom) :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Springer Nature,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2021.
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Peer review
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Open Access
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Seasonal climate forecasts are a key component of sectoral climate services. Skill and reliability in predicting agro-climate indicators, co-designed with and for European wheat farmers, are here assessed. The main findings show how seasonal climate forecast provides useful information for decision-making processes in the European winter wheat-producing sector. Flowering time can be reliably predicted already at the beginning of the growing season in central and eastern Europe, thus supporting effective variety selection and timely planning of agro-management practices. The predictability of climate events relevant for winter wheat production is strongly dependent on the forecast initialization time as well as the nature of the event being predicted. Overall, regionally skillful and reliable predictions of drought events during the sensitive periods of wheat flowering and grain filling can be made already at the end of winter. On the contrary, predicting excessive wetness seems to be very challenging as no or very limited skill is estimated during the entire wheat growing season. Other approaches, e.g., linked to the use of large-scale atmospheric patterns, should be identified to enhance the predictability of those harmful events.
546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE
Language note Text in English
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Forecasting
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 2701
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Climate prediction
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 24789
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Harvesting
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 3780
651 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--GEOGRAPHIC NAME
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 4645
Geographic name Europe
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Toreti, A.
9 (RLIN) 20684
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Related parts v. 4, art. 42
Place, publisher, and date of publication London (United Kingdom) : Springer Nature, 2021.
International Standard Serial Number 2397-3722
856 4# - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Link text Click here to access online
Uniform Resource Identifier https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00198-3
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Article
Suppress in OPAC No
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Holdings
Date last seen Total Checkouts Price effective from Koha item type Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection code Withdrawn status Home library Current library Date acquired
11/08/2021   11/08/2021 Article Not Lost Dewey Decimal Classification     Reprints Collection   CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library 11/08/2021

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