Knowledge Center Catalog

An interaction regression model for crop yield prediction (Record no. 64379)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02697nab|a22003257a|4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 64379
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field MX-TxCIM
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20211015213745.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 202102s2021||||xxk|||p|op||||00||0|eng|d
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 2045-2322 (Online)
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-97221-7
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency MX-TxCIM
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Ansarifar, J.
9 (RLIN) 23959
245 13 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title An interaction regression model for crop yield prediction
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc. London (United Kingdom) :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Nature Publishing Group,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2021.
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Peer review
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Open Access
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Crop yield prediction is crucial for global food security yet notoriously challenging due to multitudinous factors that jointly determine the yield, including genotype, environment, management, and their complex interactions. Integrating the power of optimization, machine learning, and agronomic insight, we present a new predictive model (referred to as the interaction regression model) for crop yield prediction, which has three salient properties. First, it achieved a relative root mean square error of 8% or less in three Midwest states (Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa) in the US for both corn and soybean yield prediction, outperforming state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms. Second, it identified about a dozen environment by management interactions for corn and soybean yield, some of which are consistent with conventional agronomic knowledge whereas some others interactions require additional analysis or experiment to prove or disprove. Third, it quantitatively dissected crop yield into contributions from weather, soil, management, and their interactions, allowing agronomists to pinpoint the factors that favorably or unfavorably affect the yield of a given location under a given weather and management scenario. The most significant contribution of the new prediction model is its capability to produce accurate prediction and explainable insights simultaneously. This was achieved by training the algorithm to select features and interactions that are spatially and temporally robust to balance prediction accuracy for the training data and generalizability to the test data.
546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE
Language note Text in English
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Regression analysis
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 5834
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Models
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 4859
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Crop yield
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1066
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Machine learning
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 11127
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Lizhi Wang
9 (RLIN) 22618
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Archontoulis, S.V.
9 (RLIN) 19736
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Related parts v. 11, art. 17754
Place, publisher, and date of publication London : Nature Publishing Group, 2021.
International Standard Serial Number 2045-2322
Title Nature Scientific Reports
Record control number a58025
856 4# - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Link text Click here to access online
Uniform Resource Identifier https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-97221-7
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Article
Suppress in OPAC No
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Holdings
Date last seen Total Checkouts Price effective from Koha item type Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection code Withdrawn status Home library Current library Date acquired
10/15/2021   10/15/2021 Article Not Lost Dewey Decimal Classification     Reprints Collection   CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library 10/15/2021

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