Knowledge Center Catalog

Changing risks of simultaneous global breadbasket failure (Record no. 62513)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02453nab a22003377a 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 62513
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field MX-TxCIM
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20211006073105.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 200212s2020 xxk|||p|op||| 00| 0 eng d
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 1758-678X
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 1758-6798 (Online)
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0600-z
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency MX-TxCIM
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
9 (RLIN) 15603
Personal name Gaupp, N.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Changing risks of simultaneous global breadbasket failure
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc. London (United Kingdom) :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Nature Publishing Group,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2020.
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Peer review
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. The risk of extreme climatic conditions leading to unusually low global agricultural production is exacerbated if more than one global ‘breadbasket’ is exposed at the same time. Such shocks can pose a risk to the global food system, amplifying threats to food security, and could potentially trigger other systemic risks1,2. While the possibility of climatic extremes hitting more than one breadbasket has been postulated3,4, little is known about the actual risk. Here we combine region-specific data on agricultural production with spatial statistics of climatic extremes to quantify the changing risk of low production for the major food-producing regions (breadbaskets) over time. We show an increasing risk of simultaneous failure of wheat, maize and soybean crops across the breadbaskets analysed. For rice, risks of simultaneous adverse climate conditions have decreased in the recent past, mostly owing to solar radiation changes favouring rice growth. Depending on the correlation structure between the breadbaskets, spatial dependence between climatic extremes globally can mitigate or aggravate the risks for the global food production. Our analysis can provide the basis for more efficient allocation of resources to contingency plans and/or strategic crop reserves that would enhance the resilience of the global food system.
546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE
Language note Text in English
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1045
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Climate change
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 5543
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Agricultural production
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1116
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Food production
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Food security
Miscellaneous information AGROVOC
Source of heading or term
9 (RLIN) 1118
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 9707
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Risk
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
9 (RLIN) 15604
Personal name Hall, J.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
9 (RLIN) 15605
Personal name Hochrainer-Stigler, S.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
9 (RLIN) 15606
Personal name Dadson, S.
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Place, publisher, and date of publication London (United Kingdom) : Nature Publishing Group, 2020.
Related parts v. 10, no. 1, p. 54–57
Title Nature Climate Change
International Standard Serial Number 1758-6798
Record control number u97377
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Koha item type Article
Suppress in OPAC No
Holdings
Date last seen Total Checkouts Price effective from Koha item type Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection code Withdrawn status Home library Current library Date acquired
09/04/2020   09/04/2020 Article Not Lost Dewey Decimal Classification     Reprints Collection   CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library 09/04/2020

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