Knowledge Center Catalog

Climate change and large‐scale human population collapses in the pre‐industrial era (Record no. 61994)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 00595nab|a22002177a|4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 61994
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field MX-TxCIM
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20200608205123.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 200529s2011||||xxk|||p|op||||00||0|eng|d
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 1466-822X
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 1466-8238 (Online)
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00625.x
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency MX-TxCIM
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Zhang, D.D.
9 (RLIN) 13653
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Climate change and large‐scale human population collapses in the pre‐industrial era
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc. United Kingdom :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Wiley,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2011.
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Peer review
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Aim. It has long been assumed that deteriorating climate (cooling and warming above the norm) could shrink the carrying capacity of agrarian lands, depriving the human population of sufficient food. Population collapses (i.e. negative population growth) follow. However, this human–ecological relationship has rarely been verified scientifically, and evidence of warming‐caused disaster has never been found. This research sought to explore quantitatively the temporal pattern, spatial pattern and triggers of population collapses in relation to climate change at the global scale over 1100 years. Location. Various countries/regions in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) during the pre‐industrial era. Methods We performed time‐series analysis to examine the association between temperature change and country‐wide/region‐wide population collapses in different climatic zones. All of the known population collapse incidents in the NH in the period ce 800–1900 were included in our data analysis. Results. Nearly 90% of population collapses in various NH countries/regions occurred during periods of climate deterioration characterized by shrinking carrying capacity of the land. In addition, we found that cooling dampened the human ecosystem and brought about 80% of the collapses in warmer humid, cooler humid and dry zones, while warming adversely affected the ecosystems in dry and tropical humid zones. All of the population collapses and growth declines in periods of warm climate occurred in dry and tropical humid zones. Malthusian checks (famines, wars and epidemics) were the dominant triggers of population collapses, which peaked dramatically when climate deteriorated. Main conclusions. Global demographic catastrophes and most population collapse incidents occurred in periods with great climate change, owing to overpopulation caused by diminished carrying capacity of the land and the resultant outbreak of Malthusian checks. Impacts of cooling or warming on land carrying capacity varied geographically, as a result of the diversified ecosystems in different parts of the Earth. The observed climate–population synchrony challenges Malthusian theory and demonstrates that it is not population growth alone but climate‐induced subsistence shortage and population growth working synergistically, that cause large‐scale human population collapses on the long‐term scale.
546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE
Language note Text in English
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 1045
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Climate change
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 13654
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Carrying capacity
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Source of heading or term AGROVOC
9 (RLIN) 11703
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Human population
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Lee, H.F.
9 (RLIN) 13655
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Cong Wang
9 (RLIN) 13656
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Baosheng Li
9 (RLIN) 13657
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Jane Zhang
9 (RLIN) 13658
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Qing Pei
9 (RLIN) 13659
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Jingan Chen
9 (RLIN) 13660
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title Global Ecology and Biogeography
Related parts v. 20, no. 4, p. 520-531
Place, publisher, and date of publication United Kingdom : Wiley, 2011.
International Standard Serial Number 1466-8238
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Article
Suppress in OPAC No
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Holdings
Date last seen Total Checkouts Price effective from Koha item type Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection code Withdrawn status Home library Current library Date acquired
06/01/2020   06/01/2020 Article Not Lost Dewey Decimal Classification     Reprints Collection   CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library 06/01/2020

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