MARC details
| 000 -LEADER |
|---|
| fixed length control field |
03585nab|a22003977a|4500 |
| 001 - CONTROL NUMBER |
|---|
| control field |
59729 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER |
|---|
| control field |
MX-TxCIM |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION |
|---|
| control field |
20220920151314.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
|---|
| fixed length control field |
180926s2018 ne |||p|op||||00||0|eng|d |
| 024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER |
|---|
| Standard number or code |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.008 |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
|---|
| Original cataloging agency |
MX-TxCIM |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE |
|---|
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title |
eng |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Hernandez-Ochoa, I.M. |
| 9 (RLIN) |
7945 |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT |
|---|
| Title |
Climate change impact on Mexico wheat production |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
|---|
| Place of publication, distribution, etc. |
Amsterdam, Netherlands : |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. |
Elsevier, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. |
2018. |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
|---|
| General note |
Peer review |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
|---|
| Summary, etc. |
Wheat is one of the most important cereal crops in Mexico, but the impact of future climate change on production is not known. To quantify the impact of future climate change together with its uncertainty, two wheat crop models were executed in parallel, using two scaling methods, five Global Climate Models (GCMs) and two main Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) for the 2050s. Simulated outputs varied among crop models, scaling methods, GCMs, and RCPs; however, they all projected a general decline in wheat yields by the 2050s. Despite the growth-stimulating effect of elevated CO2 concentrations, consistent yield declines were simulated across most of the main wheat growing regions of Mexico due to the projected increase in temperature. Exceptions occurred in some cooler areas, where temperature improved sub-optimal conditions, and in a few areas where rainfall increased, but these increases only provided negligible contributions to national production. Larger and more variable yield declines were projected for rainfed wheat due to current and projected spatial variability of temperature and rainfall patterns. Rainfed wheat, however, only contributes about 6% of Mexico's wheat production. When aggregating the simulated climate change impacts, considering temperature increase, rainfall change, and elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations for irrigated and rainfed wheat cropping systems, national wheat production for Mexico is projected to decline between 6.9% for RCP 4.5 and 7.9% for RCP 8.5. Model uncertainty (combined for crop and climate models) in simulated yield changes, and across two scaling methods, was smaller than temporal and spatial variability in both RCPs. Spatial variability tends to be the largest in both future scenarios. To maintain or increase future wheat production in Mexico, adaptation strategies, particularly to increasing temperatures affecting irrigated wheat, or expanding the cropping area, will be necessary. |
| 546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE |
|---|
| Language note |
Text in English |
| 591 ## - CATALOGING NOTES |
|---|
| Affiliation |
Molero, A. : Not in IRS staff list but CIMMYT Affiliation |
| Number of CIMMYT Informa |
CIMMYT Informa : 2024 (November 22, 2018) |
| 650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
| 9 (RLIN) |
1045 |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Climate change |
| 650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Wheat |
| Miscellaneous information |
AGROVOC |
| Source of heading or term |
|
| 9 (RLIN) |
1310 |
| 651 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--GEOGRAPHIC NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
1318 |
| Geographic name |
Mexico |
| Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
1568 |
| Personal name |
Asseng, S. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
1770 |
| Personal name |
Kassie, B.T. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Field link and sequence number |
001710466 |
| Personal name |
Wei Xiong |
| Miscellaneous information |
Sustainable Intensification Program |
| -- |
Sustainable Agrifood Systems |
| 9 (RLIN) |
7946 |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
1401 |
| Personal name |
Robertson, R. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Field link and sequence number |
001710201 |
| Personal name |
Pequeno, D.N.L. |
| Miscellaneous information |
Socioeconomics Program |
| -- |
Sustainable Agrifood Systems |
| 9 (RLIN) |
6381 |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Sonder, K. |
| Miscellaneous information |
Socioeconomics Program |
| -- |
Sustainable Agrifood Systems |
| Field link and sequence number |
INT3032 |
| 9 (RLIN) |
882 |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Reynolds, M.P. |
| Miscellaneous information |
Global Wheat Program |
| Field link and sequence number |
INT1511 |
| 9 (RLIN) |
831 |
| 700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Md Ali Babar |
| 9 (RLIN) |
6012 |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
4283 |
| Personal name |
Molero, A. |
| Field link and sequence number |
I1706673 |
| Miscellaneous information |
Global Wheat Program |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
4150 |
| Personal name |
Hoogenboom, G. |
| 773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY |
|---|
| Title |
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology |
| Related parts |
v. 263, p. 373-387 |
| International Standard Serial Number |
0168-1923 |
| Record control number |
u444454 |
| 856 4# - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS |
|---|
| Link text |
Access only for CIMMYT Staff |
| Uniform Resource Identifier |
https://libcatalog.cimmyt.org/Download/cis/59729.pdf |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
|---|
| Koha item type |
Article |
| Suppress in OPAC |
No |
| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
Dewey Decimal Classification |