MARC details
| 000 -LEADER |
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| fixed length control field |
04164nab a22005297a 4500 |
| 001 - CONTROL NUMBER |
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| control field |
59088 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER |
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| control field |
MX-TxCIM |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION |
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| control field |
20230818155457.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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| fixed length control field |
180119s2017 xxu|||p| p||| 00| 0 eng d |
| 022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER |
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| International Standard Serial Number |
0031-949X |
| 022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER |
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| International Standard Serial Number |
1943-7684 (Online) |
| 024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER |
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| Source of number or code |
https://doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-01-17-0027-FI |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
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| Original cataloging agency |
MX-TxCIM |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE |
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| Language code of text/sound track or separate title |
eng |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6109 |
| Personal name |
Savary, S. |
| 245 12 - TITLE STATEMENT |
|---|
| Title |
A white paper on global wheat health based on scenario development and analysis |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
|---|
| Place of publication, distribution, etc. |
St. Paul, MN (USA) : |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. |
American Phytopathological Society, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. |
2017. |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
|---|
| General note |
Peer review |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
|---|
| General note |
Open Access |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
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| Summary, etc. |
Scenario analysis constitutes a useful approach to synthesize knowledge and derive hypotheses in the case of complex systems that are documented with mainly qualitative or very diverse information. In this article, a framework for scenario analysis is designed and then, applied to global wheat health within a timeframe from today to 2050. Scenario analysis entails the choice of settings, the definition of scenarios of change, and the analysis of outcomes of these scenarios in the chosen settings. Three idealized agrosystems, representing a large fraction of the global diversity of wheat-based agrosystems, are considered, which represent the settings of the analysis. Several components of global changes are considered in their consequences on global wheat health: climate change and climate variability, nitrogen fertilizer use, tillage, crop rotation, pesticide use, and the deployment of host plant resistances. Each idealized agrosystem is associated with a scenario of change that considers first, a production situation and its dynamics, and second, the impacts of the evolving production situation on the evolution of crop health. Crop health is represented by six functional groups of wheat pathogens: the pathogens associated with Fusarium head blight; biotrophic fungi, Septoria-like fungi, necrotrophic fungi, soilborne pathogens, and insect-transmitted viruses. The analysis of scenario outcomes is conducted along a risk-analytical pattern, which involves risk probabilities represented by categorized probability levels of disease epidemics, and risk magnitudes represented by categorized levels of crop losses resulting from these levels of epidemics within each production situation. The results from this scenario analysis suggest an overall increase of risk probabilities and magnitudes in the three idealized agrosystems. Changes in risk probability or magnitude however vary with the agrosystem and the functional groups of pathogens. We discuss the effects of global changes on the six functional groups, in terms of their epidemiology and of the crop losses they cause. Scenario analysis enables qualitative analysis of complex systems, such as plant pathosystems that are evolving in response to global changes, including climate change and technology shifts. It also provides a useful framework for quantitative simulation modeling analysis for plant disease epidemiology. |
| 526 ## - STUDY PROGRAM INFORMATION NOTE |
|---|
| Program name |
Wheat CRP |
| Wheat Flagship Projects |
FP3 - Global partnership to accelerate genetic gain in farmers field |
| 546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE |
|---|
| Language note |
Text in English |
| 650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Wheat |
| Miscellaneous information |
AGROVOC |
| Source of heading or term |
|
| 9 (RLIN) |
1310 |
| 650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
2543 |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Systems analysis |
| Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
| 650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
8371 |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Plant protection |
| Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
| 650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
9073 |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Crop Forecasting |
| Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
| 650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
1045 |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Climate change |
| Source of heading or term |
AGROVOC |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
2708 |
| Personal name |
Djurle, A. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
3296 |
| Personal name |
Yuen, J. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6110 |
| Personal name |
Ficke, A. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6111 |
| Personal name |
Rossi, V. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6112 |
| Personal name |
Esker, P.D. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6113 |
| Personal name |
Fernandes, J.M.C. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6114 |
| Personal name |
Del Ponte, E.M. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
1381 |
| Personal name |
Kumar, J. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6115 |
| Personal name |
Madden, L.V. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6116 |
| Personal name |
Paul, P. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6117 |
| Personal name |
McRoberts, N. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Pawan Kumar Singh |
| Miscellaneous information |
Global Wheat Program |
| Field link and sequence number |
INT2868 |
| 9 (RLIN) |
868 |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6118 |
| Personal name |
Huber, L. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6119 |
| Personal name |
Pope de Vallavielle, C. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6120 |
| Personal name |
Saint-Jea, S. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| 9 (RLIN) |
6121 |
| Personal name |
Willocquet, L. |
| 773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY |
|---|
| Related parts |
v. 107, no. 10, p. 1109-1122 |
| Title |
Phytopathology |
| Record control number |
444676 |
| International Standard Serial Number |
0031-949X |
| Place, publisher, and date of publication |
St. Paul, MN (USA) : American Phytopathological Society, 2017. |
| 856 4# - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS |
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| Uniform Resource Identifier |
https://hdl.handle.net/10883/20629 |
| Link text |
Open Access through DSpace |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
|---|
| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
Dewey Decimal Classification |
| Koha item type |
Article |
| Suppress in OPAC |
No |