Knowledge Center Catalog

Using Cross-validation to evaluate CERES-maize yield simulations within a decision support system for precision agriculture (Record no. 29545)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 03121nab a22003497a 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field G97211
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field MX-TxCIM
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20170719155449.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 121211b |||p||p||||||| |z||| |
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency MX-TxCIM
041 0# - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title En
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Thorp, K.R.
245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Using Cross-validation to evaluate CERES-maize yield simulations within a decision support system for precision agriculture
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2007
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Crop growth models have recently been implemented to study precision agriculture questions within the framework of a decision support system (DSS) that automates simulations across management zones. Model calibration in each zone has occurred by automatically optimizing select model parameters to minimize error between measured and simulated yield over multiple growing seasons. However, to date, there have been no efforts to evaluate model simulations within the DSS. In this work, a model evaluation procedure based on leave-one-out cross-validation was developed to explore several issues associated with the implementation of CERES-Maize within the DSS. Five growing seasons of measured yield data from a central Iowa cornfield were available for cross-validation. Two strategies were used to divide the study area into management zones, one based on soil type and the other based on topography. The decision support system was then used to carry out the model calibration and validation simulations as required to complete the cross-validation procedure. Results demonstrated that the model's ability to simulate corn yield improved as more growing seasons were used in the cross-validation. For management zones based on topography, the average root mean squared error of prediction (RMSEP) from cross-validations was 1460 kg ha-1 when two growing seasons were used and 998 kg ha-1 when five years were used. Model performance was shown to vary spatially based on soil type and topography. Average RMSEP was 1651 kg ha-1 on zones of Nicollet loam, while it was 496 kg ha-1 on zones of Canisteo silty clay loam. Spatial patterns also existed between areas of higher RMSEP and areas where measured spatial yield variability was related to topography. Changes in the mean and variance of optimum parameter sets as more growing seasons were used in cross-validation demonstrated that the optimizer was able to arrive at more stable solutions in some zones as compared to others. Results suggested that cross-validation was an appropriate method for addressing several issues associated with the use of crop growth models within a DSS for precision agriculture.
546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE
Language note English
595 ## - COLLECTION
Collection Reprints Collection
650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Corn
650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Crop Model
650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Cross-validation
650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Decision support system
650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Precision agriculture
650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Spatial variability
650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Yield
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Batchelor, W.D.,
Relator term coaut.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name DeJonge, K.C.,
Relator term coaut.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Kaleita, A.L.,
Relator term coaut.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Paz, J.O.,
Relator term coaut.
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title Transactions of the ASABE
Related parts v. 50, no. 4, p. 1467-1479
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Article
Holdings
Date last seen Total Checkouts Price effective from Koha item type Lost status Damaged status Not for loan Collection code Withdrawn status Home library Current library Date acquired
07/03/2017   07/03/2017 Article Not Lost     Reprints Collection   CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library CIMMYT Knowledge Center: John Woolston Library 07/03/2017

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